Thursday, October 22, 2026
Stocks Rally Into the Close, but Meta and an AI Sell-Off Abroad Cloud Thursday's Open
Key Indicators
S&P 500 (Wed close)
7,757.17
+0.58% (up)Nasdaq Composite (Wed close)
26,702.86
+1.05% (up)Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wed close)
52,856.09
+0.69% (up)Russell 2000 (Wed close)
2,781.02
+0.27% (up)VIX (Wed close)
16.68
-3.64% (down)Market Recap
Wednesday's close: Nasdaq leads a broad advance
U.S. stocks rose across the board Wednesday, October 21. The S&P 500 gained 0.58% to 7,757.17, the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.05% to 26,702.86, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.69% to 52,856.09. The Russell 2000 rose 0.27% to 2,781.02. Health care (+1.87%), financials (+1.78%) and technology (+1.39%) led the S&P sectors, while communication services fell 1.02%. The VIX eased 3.64% to 16.68.
Meta slides after hours; Lockheed and Spotify jump
Thursday's session is being shaped by earnings reported after Wednesday's close. Meta Platforms fell nearly 7% in Thursday trading even though its fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $73 billion to $76 billion topped estimates, as investors focused on a capital spending forecast narrowed to $135 billion to $145 billion. Tesla was roughly flat after paring losses; it cut its 2030 annual sales goal to 5 million vehicles. Lockheed Martin rose almost 7% on a third-quarter beat, and Spotify gained nearly 8% after premium subscribers grew by six million to 306 million.
Oil climbs and Asian tech sells off overnight
Brent crude rose about 3.2% to $112.27 a barrel in Thursday trading, its highest since May, on renewed fears of U.S.-Iran fighting, including a report of planned strikes after the November midterms. U.S. benchmark crude rose about 2.8% to $99.80. Asian chip and tech stocks fell sharply: Japan's Nikkei 225 dropped 2.7%, South Korea's Kospi fell 3.5%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 3%. Tokyo Electron fell 7% and SK Hynix 5.5%. In early Thursday trading the S&P 500 was down about 0.9% to 1.4% and the Nasdaq 1.5% to 2.2%. These are intraday figures, not closes.
Concept of the Day
Capital Expenditure (Capex) and Investor Expectations
Capital expenditure, or capex, is money a company spends on long-lived assets such as data centers, chips, factories and equipment. Unlike operating costs, capex is not expensed all at once. It is recorded as an asset and depreciated over years, so heavy spending today lowers free cash flow immediately but hits reported earnings gradually. Investors judge capex by the return it earns. If a company spends more, the market asks whether the new assets will generate revenue and profit above the company's cost of capital. When the payoff is clear, higher capex can lift a stock. When it is uncertain, as with large AI infrastructure build-outs, higher or persistent spending can push the stock down even when sales are growing. A capex forecast therefore acts as a signal. A narrowed or raised range tells investors how much cash the company will commit before the revenue arrives, and it also feeds into the revenue of suppliers such as chip and equipment makers.
Why it matters
Meta's guidance shows the dynamic. It guided fourth-quarter revenue to $73 billion to $76 billion, above estimates, yet the stock fell nearly 7% in Thursday trading as investors weighed a capex range narrowed to $135 billion to $145 billion. Chip stocks slid and Asian suppliers such as Tokyo Electron (-7%) and SK Hynix (-5.5%) fell sharply. When spending is this large, investors want proof of return, so capex guidance can matter as much as the revenue forecast.
What to Watch
Wed, Oct 28
FOMC rate decision (Oct 27-28 meeting)
The Fed's decision, due at 2:00 PM ET, comes with Brent near $112 and will set the tone for rate-sensitive assets.
Thu, Oct 29
GDP (Advance Estimate), 3rd Quarter 2026
The first read on third-quarter growth shows how the economy is holding up under high energy prices.